After a strong start, I faded down the stretch yesterday, finishing 3-2 in college football (after a 2-0 start) and 0-3 in college basketball, dropping my record below .500 for the season at 4-5.

Today, there are some great betting games from the NFL, NBA, and NCAAB.

Let’s start with the NFL:

The last time these two division rivals faced each other on Oct. 30 at MetLife Stadium, New England kicked five field goals, picked off Zach Wilson three times, and won 22-17. On Sunday, the scene switches to Foxborough, Mass., where the Patriots have been installed as 3 1/2-point favorites.

Now, here’s the crazy part: The Jets haven’t beaten New England since 2015! The Patriots are 21-2 against New York since the 2011 season. 

The key this weekend is Wilson. 

In the first meeting, New England shut down New York’s running game, holding the Jets to just 51 yards rushing on 15 carries. I suspect Bill Belichick will employ a similar run-stuffing strategy this go-round, meaning Wilson will need to be patient — and I think he will be. His last game, against Buffalo, was possibly the best of his career in terms of efficiency, as he recorded a career-best 101.1 passer rating. 

And here’s a little tidbit for you: Although Belichick is known as a master strategist, New England is just 1-8-1 at home coming off a bye during his tenure.

BET: NY JETS +145 OR BETTER ON THE MONEY LINE

I gotta admit: This line puzzles me. 

Last year, Dallas had a 6-1 record when they faced Minnesota, which had a 3-4 record, at U.S. Bank Stadium in a Sunday night game. Yet, the Vikings were 4 ½-point favorites that evening. Now, you can say that was because Cooper Rush was subbing for the injured Dak Prescott, who will start in this Sunday’s game. But Rush was 4-1 as a starter for Dallas this year and played reasonably well except for his last outing against Philadelphia, which was awful.

And Minnesota has simply been a different team under new coach Kevin O’Connell. 

Granted, Dallas looks better statistically, but I keep going back to the line. Since 1978, home ‘dogs with a winning record have covered 54% of the time—and that number, along with the ROI, keeps getting bigger the more the team is above .500.

BET: MINNESOTA +1 ½ POINTS OR BETTER

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