This is a game where my algorithms fly in the face of recent results. Seattle is just 11-19 against Houston since July 27, 2021, and is 2-13 against Astros’ starting pitcher Justin Verlander.

Verlander has been so dominant that the Mariners have been beaten by more than a run in 10 of the 15 contests that he has started as a member of the Astros.

On the plus side, Seattle sends Logan Gilbert to the hill. Just 25 years of age, Gilbert had solid regular season, posting a 13-6 record and 3.20 ERA while restricting opponents to a .242 batting average and 49 walks in 185 2/3 innings pitched.

Better still, Gilbert is 3-4 against Houston, and the Mariners are brimming with confidence after a huge come-from-behind win to close out the Wild Card Series against Toronto.

BET: SEATTLE +1.5 RUNS (-115) 

On paper, this is a total mismatch. The Dodgers are 23-7 against the Padres since June 2021, including 14-5 this year. At home, the numbers are even more skewed. Los Angeles has won 14 of the last 16 meetings — good for an ROI of 38.2%.

But here’s the intriguing part: When ace Clayton Kershaw has been on the hill, the Padres have performed considerably better — especially on the road. In Dodger Stadium, San Diego is 6-7 and has a slightly positive 2.8% ROI.

When getting 1.5 runs, the Padres are 18-12 against Kershaw since 2012.

BET: SAN DIEGO +1.5 RUNS (-105) *****

Note: The line is between 100 and -110. Shop around for the best price.

New York has won 20 of the last 30 meetings between these two teams, recording a positive 16.8% ROI.

The boys from the Bronx are 21-12 with Gerrit Cole (13-8, 3.50 ERA) on the mound, and Cole is 4-1 against the Indians since becoming a Yankee.

Cleveland is playing very well, and I wouldn’t fault anybody playing them on the run line, but I think the value is on the “under.”

BETS: UNDER 7 RUNS ****